Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-14
$7.76-1.40%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put RRGB beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 65% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRRGB's growth depends on executing its First Choice Plan and refranchising efforts. The latest quarter missed expectations, indicating challenges in achieving these goals. Revenue growth appears modest, with the stock trading at 0.1× price-to-sales, below the peer median of 0.9×. This suggests the market may not fully reflect its potential upside. Specific risks include a 43% probability of missing outlooks and the impact of industry-wide store closures. Peer multiples imply a price about 78% above where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. RRGB is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering RRGB (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare RRGB with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRGB Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put RRGB next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Refranchise company-owned restaurants to improve financial flexibility
Refranchising improves financial flexibility and supports capital allocation.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Refranchise company-owned restaurants to improve financial flexibility
Refranchising improves financial flexibility and aligns with management's goals.
Threatens: Refranchise company-owned restaurants to improve financial flexibility
Closure of locations undermines refranchising and financial flexibility.
Advances: Execute First Choice Plan with focus on menu innovation and operational efficie…
Progress in value meals supports menu innovation and operational efficiency.
Advances: Execute First Choice Plan with focus on menu innovation and operational efficie…
Strong quarter indicates effective execution of First Choice Plan.
Advances: Refranchise company-owned restaurants to improve financial flexibility
Refranchising proceeds enhance financial flexibility significantly.
Advances: Execute First Choice Plan with focus on menu innovation and operational efficie…
New CMO may enhance menu innovation and operational efficiency.
Threatens: Capital expenditures of $25 million to $30 million for fiscal 2026
Restaurant closures threaten operational profit objectives.
