NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Maintain restaurant level operating profit at 13%: metric not reported.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 65% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRed Robin Gourmet Burgers must maintain its restaurant-level operating profit at 13% to justify its price. Recent financial performance has been weak, and the company is unprofitable. It trades at 0.1× price-to-sales, while the peer median is 1.1×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. The primary risk is that the company may not meet its profit target. Peer multiples imply a price about 80% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. RRGB is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering RRGB (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Threatens: Maintain restaurant level operating profit at 13%
Restaurant closures threaten operating profit objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Maintain restaurant level operating profit at 13%
Closures may hinder achieving 13% operating profit target.
Threatens: Maintain restaurant level operating profit at 13%
Closures threaten operating profit maintenance objective.
Advances: Capex of $25M to $30M for fiscal 2026
Franchise sale supports capital allocation goals.
Advances: Capex of $25M to $30M for fiscal 2026
Refranchising aligns with capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Maintain restaurant level operating profit at 13%
Transformation efforts likely improve operating profit.
Threatens: Capex of $25M to $30M for fiscal 2026
Selling locations may hinder capital allocation plans.
Threatens: Capex of $25M to $30M for fiscal 2026
Selling locations may hinder capital allocation plans.
