YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC (YUMC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-15
$41.69-2.62%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put YUMC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
Yum China Holdings (YUMC) is positioned for growth driven by its strong sales and earnings projections. Revenue is expected to grow 10% this year, significantly outpacing the industry average of 1.9%. The latest earnings report showed a beat with a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. YUMC trades at 16× P/E, below the peer median of 17×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. The next-quarter miss probability is at 22%, which presents a specific risk if guidance is cut. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% above where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. YUMC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 22 analysts currently covering YUMC (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare YUMC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUMC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put YUMC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Acquire ownership of Pizza Hut brand in Mainland China
Growth strategy aligns with Pizza Hut brand acquisition.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Acquire ownership of Pizza Hut brand in Mainland China
Acquisition aligns with growth objective for Pizza Hut brand.
Advances: Acquire ownership of Pizza Hut brand in Mainland China
Acquisition aligns with growth strategy and enhances brand portfolio.
Advances: Acquire ownership of Pizza Hut brand in Mainland China
Earnings and Pizza Hut plan support growth objectives.
Advances: Target 1,900 net new stores in 2026
New store targets align with growth objectives.
Advances: Target 1,900 net new stores in 2026
Sales growth acceleration supports new store target.
Advances: Return $1.5 billion to shareholders in 2026
Sale enhances capital allocation for shareholder returns.
Advances: Return $1.5 billion to shareholders in 2026
Sale enhances capital allocation for shareholder returns.