Cava Group (CAVA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-15
$49.99-8.93%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put CAVA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 49% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCAVA's growth trajectory relies on increasing Adjusted EBITDA to $181M-$191M in 2026. Revenue surged 31% in the last quarter, reinforcing strong financial performance. CAVA trades at 4.7× price-to-sales, above the 0.9× peer median, indicating a premium valuation. The market may be repricing the stock after an 18% drop since September 1. A 24% probability exists for a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. CAVA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering CAVA (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 16 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CAVA in the last 4 months.
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Compare CAVA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| CAVA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
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| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put CAVA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Valuation concerns could impact investor confidence and growth plans.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $49.99
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $49.99.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase Adjusted EBITDA to $181M-$191M in 2026
Strong profits support Adjusted EBITDA growth objective.
Advances: Increase Adjusted EBITDA to $181M-$191M in 2026
Surge in stock indicates positive market sentiment.
Advances: Increase Adjusted EBITDA to $181M-$191M in 2026
Earnings call highlights strong revenue growth.
Advances: Increase same restaurant sales
Outperformance in fast casual supports sales growth.
Advances: Maintain restaurant-level profit margin around 24%
Investment in wages improves profit margins.
Threatens: Maintain restaurant-level profit margin around 24%
Margin pressures could impact profit margin objectives.
Advances: Increase same restaurant sales
Strong same-store sales support growth objectives.
