Brinker International, Inc. (EAT)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$212.18-3.51%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put EAT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Recent financial performance slipped notably this past month, though still top-half.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 6% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 16% growth a year, above the roughly 6% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 28% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskChili’s brand momentum must sustain profitable growth as EAT’s recent revenue growth has slowed. Revenue growth eased from 5% to 3.3%; the latest quarter beat earnings expectations. EAT trades at 19× P/E versus the 16× peer median and its 18× historical multiple. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast. The premium over peers must be earned, with a 23% next-quarter miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. EAT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering EAT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 16 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for EAT in the last 4 months.
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Compare EAT with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put EAT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain disciplined capital expenditures within $265M-$285M for fiscal 2027
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $212.18
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $212.18.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Fiscal 2027 EPS outlook and planned Chili's reimages support growth and investment priorities.
Advances: Increase revenue to $5.78B-$5.82B for fiscal 2026
Raised forecast and Chili's-led profit growth support the revenue objective and brand momentum.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through Chili's brand momentum
Reported earnings beat and Chili's momentum support profitable growth, though share-price reaction is not itself a catalyst.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through Chili's brand momentum
Upgrade indicates confidence in Chili's brand momentum.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through Chili's brand momentum
Positive outlook citing traffic growth and lower debt validates improving fundamentals.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through Chili's brand momentum
Credit upgrade recognizes Chili's growth and sustained debt reduction.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through Chili's brand momentum
Planned Chili's openings indicate expansion supporting brand-led growth.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through Chili's brand momentum
Nationwide store openings signal expansion amid strong sales.
