Yum! Brands (YUM)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$155.40+0.55%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put YUM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve 8% core operating profit growth: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskYUM’s growth case rests on expanding units, with recent revenue growth slowing. Revenue growth eased to 12% in Q2 FY2026 from 15% in Q1, despite an earnings beat. YUM trades at 24× P/E versus the 16× peer median, while expectations look modest versus our view. The premium depends on growth delivery, and Pizza Hut’s exit challenges unit growth. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 20%. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. YUM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering YUM (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for YUM in the last 4 months.
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Compare YUM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put YUM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
Pizza Hut's exit impacts unit growth potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $155.40
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $155.40.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Achieve 7% System Sales Growth excluding F/X
Downgrade reflects concerns over growth trajectory.
Advances: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
Brand shuffle may enhance unit growth potential.
Ownership change may impact Pizza Hut's growth strategy.
Sale allows focus on core brands and growth objectives.
Advances: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
New market entry supports unit growth objective.
Advances: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
Expansion into UAE supports unit growth objective.
Threatens: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
Closure of restaurants impacts unit growth objective.
