Wingstop (WING)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$145.39+4.92%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put WING beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain strong cash from operations: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 66% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskWING’s unit expansion depends on strong restaurant-level execution despite slowing sales growth and weaker same-store sales guidance. Revenue growth slowed from 7.4% to 5.3%, though Q3 earnings beat consensus. WING trades at 33× P/E versus a 16× peer median and 35× its own history. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite that substantial peer premium. Management expects domestic same-store sales to decline 6.5% to 7% in 2026. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 24%. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. WING is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering WING (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for WING in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WING Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put WING next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $145.39
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $145.39.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Forecast domestic same-store sales decline is a meaningful headwind despite continued unit growth targets.
Advances: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
India entry and stated 1,000-restaurant potential support long-term global unit growth.
Threatens: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
Another outlook cut and faltering value strategy threaten unit-growth execution.
Leadership change may impact brand strategy and growth.
Advances: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
Opening 30 more restaurants supports global growth objective.
Advances: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
Value messaging could improve traffic, aiding growth.
Threatens: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
Soft consumer spending impacts same-store sales.
Advances: Global unit growth rate of 15% to 16%
Strong financial performance supports global unit growth objective.
