LUCKIN COFFEE INC (LKNCY)
OTCConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-09
$33.98+1.22%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
OTCConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-09
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Put LKNCY beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Maintain profitability with stable margins: net margin 7.3% vs positive target.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 36% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLuckin Coffee's revenue growth must continue to justify its current valuation. The company reported 28.5% revenue growth, which supports a positive outlook. It trades at a valuation that suggests it is undervalued compared to peers. This implies that the market may not fully reflect its growth potential. The primary risk is that the company has broken its ability to maintain profitability with stable margins, as its net margin is 7.3% versus a positive target. Peer multiples imply a price about 45% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-09. LKNCY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering LKNCY (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put LKNCY next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Significant investment enhances growth potential and market position.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-09. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Mubadala's investment significantly boosts Luckin's growth potential.
Buyback signals confidence and may boost share price.
Analyst valuation suggests significant upside potential.
Indicates significant undervaluation based on cash flow analysis.
Significant revenue growth supports positive valuation outlook.
Expansion into Malaysia indicates growth strategy.
Challenging US chains shows competitive positioning.