Consumer DiscretionarySnapshot 2026-07-23
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Create your account →The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 36% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLuckin Coffee's growth strategy relies on its expansion into new markets like Malaysia. The company recently entered Johor Bahru with three outlets, which supports this strategy. Revenue growth is expected to continue as it competes with US chains in New York. Currently, peer multiples imply a price about 87% above where it trades. If major competitors start missing earnings, it could hurt Luckin's growth. Peer multiples suggest the stock looks cheap on this basis. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-24. LKNCY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering LKNCY (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-24. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Expansion into Malaysia supports growth strategy.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-24. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
New cashless entry enhances competitive positioning in NYC.
Expansion of product availability in a key market.
Growing non-coffee sales enhance revenue diversification.
Growing non-coffee sales enhance revenue diversification.
Structural headwinds indicate competitive pressures.
New investment supports growth strategy.
