NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto & Truck DealershipsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Profit margin stability amid pressures: net margin 3.0% vs target near current levels (previously 3.2%).
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 22% growth a year, above the roughly 2% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskPenske Automotive Group's growth depends on expanding its dealership network through acquisitions, which is supported by a recent bid to take the company private. Revenue grew 6% year over year, and the latest earnings report showed a beat with an EPS surprise of 7.1%. It trades at 17× P/E versus a peer median of 16×, indicating that the market is pricing in more growth than is forecasted, suggesting expectations look full. The primary risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with a 20% probability of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. PAG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering PAG (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PAG in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automotive Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Expand dealership network through acquisitions
Commercial truck momentum supports dealership network expansion.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $217.31
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $217.31.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Expand dealership network through acquisitions
Commercial truck momentum supports dealership network expansion.
Threatens: Expand dealership network through acquisitions
Delayed backlog delivery may hinder dealership expansion plans.
Advances: Maintain disciplined capital allocation including share repurchases
Share repurchase aligns with disciplined capital allocation strategy.
Advances: Expand dealership network through acquisitions
Mitsui buyout suggests strategic growth focus.
Advances: Expand dealership network through acquisitions
Go-private deal indicates commitment to growth.
Potential privatization could disrupt current management objectives.
Advances: Expand dealership network through acquisitions
Acquisition bid supports dealership network expansion objective.
