AutoZone (AZO)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
$2965.52+3.09%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
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Put AZO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Increase earnings per share to at least $151.11 in FY26: EPS 96.74 vs 151.11 target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 33% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAutoZone's growth relies on expanding its commercial segment and aggressive store openings. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year, and the last quarter's earnings beat expectations. It trades at 18.5× P/E versus a peer median of 14.5×, indicating it looks expensive on this basis. The primary risk is the need to increase earnings per share to at least $151.11 in FY26, as current EPS is $38.1. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. AZO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering AZO (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AZO in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automotive Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AZO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Aggressively open new stores
Store burglaries may hinder aggressive expansion plans.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $2965.52
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $2965.52.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Aggressively open new stores
International expansion aligns with aggressive store opening objective.
O'Reilly's deal could intensify competition in the market.
Increases buyback capacity aligns with capital allocation goals.
Advances: Share repurchase program
Increases shareholder value through capital allocation.
Advances: Share repurchase program
Increases shareholder value through capital allocation.
Improves competitive position through supplier relationships.