Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$259.97+4.18%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put GPI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS at or above $42.27 in FY26: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 3% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 47% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGPI’s thesis rests on dealership portfolio expansion and resilient earnings, despite recently declining revenue. Revenue fell 6.7% year over year in Q3 2026, and adjusted EPS missed estimates. GPI trades at 7.2× P/E versus the 15.2× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, though the peer gap leaves a valuation cushion. The specific risks are fragile cash backing and a 53% next-quarter miss probability. The FY26 EPS pillar needs review because its comparison is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 32% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. GPI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering GPI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GPI in the last 4 months.
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Compare GPI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automotive Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GPI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize portfolio
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $259.97
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $259.97.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Substantial planned dispositions support portfolio optimization, alongside integration of the Hennessy acquisition.
Advances: Strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize portfolio
Large completed dealership acquisition advances portfolio growth, though integration and returns remain to be assessed.
Threatens: Focus on operational excellence and cost actions in U.S. and U.K.
Execution risks could hinder operational excellence objectives.
Advances: Increase and maintain dividend payouts
Management's investment signals confidence in dividend sustainability.
Advances: Strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize portfolio
Funds from notes can support strategic acquisitions.
Significant investment by major shareholder supports confidence in capital allocation.
Threatens: Strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize portfolio
High debt and troubled acquisition raise concerns on strategic growth.
Advances: Strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize portfolio
Strategic acquisition aligns with growth objectives.
