NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 60% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskJACK's growth depends on maintaining its restaurant margins while navigating sector challenges. Recent performance has been steady, but the company remains unprofitable. It trades at 5.3 times P/E, below the peer median of 20.2 times. This suggests that the price reflects modest growth expectations compared to our view. If JACK cuts guidance, it could face significant downside risk. Peer multiples imply a price about 48% below where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. JACK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering JACK (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for JACK in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Threatens: Maintain company-owned restaurant margin of 17-18%
Restaurant closures threaten margin and EBITDA guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $16.37
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $16.37.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Threatens: Maintain company-owned restaurant margin of 17-18%
Repeated closures indicate ongoing operational challenges.
Guidance cuts indicate potential operational weaknesses.
