Cracker Barrel (CBRL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$70.05-3.31%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put CBRL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 44% growth a year, above the roughly 2% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 27% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCBRL’s thesis rests on a restaurant turnaround, though recent financial performance has weakened. Revenue declines continued in fiscal 2026’s latest quarter. Fiscal fourth-quarter non-GAAP earnings beat consensus. Revenue fell 2.2% year over year. CBRL trades at 0.5× sales versus a 1.0× peer median. The market is pricing more growth than our forecast. A 12% next-quarter miss probability presents a specific risk. The 44% below-trading peer-multiple read contrasts with full expectations. Our standing thesis remains intact, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. CBRL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 9 analysts currently covering CBRL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CBRL in the last 4 months.
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Compare CBRL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put CBRL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Achieve or exceed fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance
Traffic drop indicates challenges in achieving revenue guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $70.05
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $70.05.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Leadership and organizational structure changes
CEO's warning may impact revenue growth and pricing strategy.
Threatens: Achieve or exceed fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance
CEO's warning may impact revenue growth expectations.
Advances: Capital expenditures guidance for fiscal 2026
Upgrading menu items supports revenue growth and capital allocation.
Advances: Achieve or exceed fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance
Positive EBITDA outlook enhances revenue guidance.
Advances: Achieve or exceed fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance
Earnings call highlights indicate strong revenue growth.
Positive analyst sentiment supports revenue and EBITDA growth.
Threatens: Leadership and organizational structure changes
Leadership changes may disrupt strategic execution.