Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$10.69+7.01%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put BLMN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain positive net income above $55 million in Q1 2026: Net income: $31.34M.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 35% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBLMN’s thesis rests on restoring revenue and comparable sales at Outback and its other restaurant brands. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year in Q2 FY2026, despite an earnings beat. Shares trade at 8× P/E versus a 16× peer median, while expectations look modest versus our view. The next-quarter miss probability is 25%, and Q1 FY2026 net income fell below the stated $55 million pillar. That earnings pressure challenges the revenue recovery case. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. BLMN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 11 analysts currently covering BLMN (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BLMN in the last 4 months.
Current $10.69
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $10.69.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare BLMN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLMN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put BLMN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue and comparable restaurant sales
Upgrade suggests confidence in revenue growth potential.
Threatens: Increase revenue and comparable restaurant sales
Location closures may reduce revenue and comparable sales.
Advances: Increase revenue and comparable restaurant sales
Analysts raising targets indicates confidence in revenue growth.
Threatens: Increase revenue and comparable restaurant sales
Location closures may hinder revenue and comparable sales growth.
Advances: Increase revenue and comparable restaurant sales
Raising EPS guidance indicates strong revenue growth potential.
Advances: Increase revenue and comparable restaurant sales
Increased consumer spending on pricier items supports revenue growth.
Threatens: Achieve positive net income
Lower EPS outlook may hinder achieving positive net income.
Earnings beat and higher outlook support revenue growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.