Noodles & Co (NDLS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$15.58+7.52%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put NDLS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNDLS depends on restaurant portfolio optimization through closures and franchise openings, though growth has weakened. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year in Q2 FY2026, when GAAP earnings were negative. The stock trades at 0.2× sales versus a 1.0× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite modest expectations. A next-quarter miss is possible, with our model placing its probability near 37%. The 0.8× peer gap leaves the valuation dependent on the business earning that multiple. Peer multiples imply a price about 68% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. NDLS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 1 analyst currently covering NDLS (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare NDLS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDLS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NDLS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Optimize restaurant portfolio with closures and franchise openings
Potential closures could hinder restaurant portfolio optimization.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Raise gross margin guidance for 2026
Margin expansion supports gross margin guidance for 2026.
Threatens: Optimize restaurant portfolio with closures and franchise openings
Closures hinder portfolio optimization and growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance for 2026
Historic sales quarter supports revenue growth objectives.
Leadership change may enhance operational efficiency.
Promotion indicates confidence in operational strategy.
Earnings beat but year-over-year decline raises concerns.
