Reading KRUS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KRUS free→Reading KRUS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KRUS free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 124% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified, as it is rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. If KRUS cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $50.31. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $50 KRUS trades at 2× p/s — 2.2× the 1× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $22 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 125% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 24%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted -12.53x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.17 → $0.17 (+2.2% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 8 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 64% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$244.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$575.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,547.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much consumers are spending. This impacts Kura Sushi's business.
Confirms one read:Retail sales report shows an increase in consumer spending month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales report shows a decline in consumer spending month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KRUS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 2, 2026, Jeffrey J. Uttz notified the Company of his decision to resign as the Company’s Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, effective April 28, 2026. Mr. Uttz informed the Company that his decision to resign was in order to accept a new position within the restaurant industry, and was not the result of any disagreement or dispute with…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Restaurants.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KRUS Kura Sushi USA, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
MCD McDonald's | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | full | moderate |
SBUX Starbucks | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
YUM Yum! Brands | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | full | moderate |
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 58 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=483).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to achieve total sales between $333 million and $335 million for the fiscal year ending 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $64.9M in 2025-Q2 to $80.0M in 2026-Q2, indicating progress towards the $333M-$335M annual target. The trajectory shows delivering growth, aligning with management's reiterated guidance.
“The Company updates and reiterates the following annual guidance: Total sales between $333 million and $335 million.”
“The Company reiterates the following annual guidance: Total sales between $330 million and $334 million.”
“Total sales between $330 million and $334 million.”
The company aims to maintain restaurant-level operating profit margins between 18% and 18.5% for the fiscal year.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. While specific margin figures for the quarters are not provided, management has consistently reiterated the target range of 18%-18.5%. The recurring focus suggests a commitment to maintaining these margins, though substantive delivery details are limited.
“Restaurant-level operating profit margins between 18.0 and 18.5%.”
The company plans to keep general and administrative expenses at approximately 12% of sales, excluding litigation expenses.
Stated in 2 of last 3 quarters. Management aims to control G&A expenses at 12% of sales. The absence of specific expense figures in the financials limits the assessment of progress, but the recurring statement indicates ongoing focus.
“General and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales to be approximately 12%, excluding litigation expenses.”
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Kura Sushi can improve its financial losses. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth turning positive year over year.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows revenue is still going down. Losses are bigger than expected.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release disclosing earnings and other financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year ended August 31, 2025, and announcing that its management would review these results in a conference call at 5:00 p.m. (EDT) on November 6, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished with
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
“Restaurant-level operating profit margins of approximately 18%.”
“Restaurant-level operating profit margins of approximately 18%”
“General and administrative expenses as a percentage of sales between 12.0% and 12.5%”