Academy Sports + Outdoors (ASO)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
$54.25-2.01%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-14
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Put ASO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Gross margin near 34.4% in fiscal 2026: Q2 FY26 gross margin 40.4% vs 34.4% target.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskAcademy Sports and Outdoors must continue to expand its eCommerce sales and open new stores to justify its current price. Revenue grew 3% year over year, and the latest quarter's earnings per share beat expectations by 10%. The stock trades at 8.9 times earnings, below the peer median of 14.5 times. This suggests the price reflects less growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the potential for management to cut guidance after previously raising it, which could harm credibility. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch due to pressure on gross margins.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. ASO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering ASO (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ASO in the last 4 months.
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Compare ASO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ASO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase operating cash flow
Tariff refund boosts operating cash flow significantly.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $54.25
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $54.25.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase eCommerce sales
Sales and EPS forecast supports growth objectives.
Advances: Increase eCommerce sales
Earnings beat and raised guidance support eCommerce growth.
Advances: Open 20-25 new stores in fiscal 2026
New store aligns with growth objective for fiscal 2026.
Advances: Open 20-25 new stores in fiscal 2026
Partnership supports opening new stores objective.
Advances: Open 20-25 new stores in fiscal 2026
Opening 11 stores supports growth objective for fiscal 2026.
Consumer risks could impact growth objectives.
Earnings miss could impact growth and cash flow.