Amazon (AMZN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-10-30
$240.35-1.41%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put AMZN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 15% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 27%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAmazon’s case rests on AWS and AI expansion, supported by strong recent financial performance. Revenue growth slowed from 20% to 12%, and Q3 2026 missed expectations. Amazon trades at 28× P/E versus the 15× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite the premium. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. AMZN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 60 analysts currently covering AMZN (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 25 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AMZN in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare AMZN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AMZN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth across segments
AI shopping bots could erode Amazon’s commerce advantage, though this is an analyst’s concern, not a demonstrated shift.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $240.35
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $240.35.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
AI investment expands capacity while falling delivery costs support investment efficiency.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth across segments
An earnings miss may weaken growth confidence, though headline lacks details.
Threatens: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Large supplier-financing facility highlights AI infrastructure funding and cash-burn risks.
Threatens: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Reported $80 billion supplier-loan facility underscores AI investment funding and cash-flow concerns.
Threatens: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Earnings miss and AI-driven negative free cash flow pressure returns on infrastructure investment.
Threatens: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Questions whether $77 billion capex earns adequate returns, testing infrastructure investment credibility.
Threatens: Invest in AI and infrastructure capacity
Sell-off tied to AI spending concerns raises questions about capex returns and investor confidence.
