NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Comparable sales growth driven by Reimagine 200 stores: +1.8% vs 2.4%.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskM's growth depends on maintaining strong performance in the Consumer Discretionary sector. Recent earnings showed a significant beat, with a 333% surprise in EPS. It trades at 11× P/E, below the peer median of 16×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations compared to our view. A specific risk is management falling behind on commitments, which could hurt credibility. Peer multiples imply a price about 23% above where it trades. This read is provisional, and the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. M is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering M (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for M in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Reimagine 200 stores initiative
Sign removal may impact brand perception and store reimagination efforts.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $24.82
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $24.82.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Analyst upgrade supports positive turnaround sentiment.
Legal challenges may impact operational focus and costs.
Legal ruling affects labor costs and operational efficiency.
Legal ruling could increase operational costs.
Advances: Reimagine 200 stores initiative
Strong Q1 performance supports growth initiatives.
Advances: Enhance cash from operating activities
Raising forecasts indicates improved cash flow.
