JD.COM INC (JD)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-10-16
$27.01-1.39%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-10-16
Research Workspace
Put JD beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Manage regulatory scrutiny in China and UK: Qualitative: $500k SEC penalty vs No major penalties.
View ThesisModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskJD’s case rests on its commerce business, but the desk lacks earnings history to confirm revenue growth. The last recorded surprise was a beat, though no earnings release is on record. JD has no clean valuation multiple available, so the price cannot be compared with peers through this measure. The price is roughly in line with the growth the desk forecasts. China and UK regulatory scrutiny is the specific pressure on a primary thesis pillar. The model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 25%. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. JD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 36 analysts currently covering JD (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for JD in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare JD with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put JD next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Price target cut indicates lower growth expectations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $27.01
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $27.01.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Legal issues could undermine investor confidence and valuation.
Regulatory approval is crucial for JD.com's expansion plans.
Pushback from rivals could delay or complicate the deal.
Joint venture enhances strategic partnerships and market presence.
Improved profit suggests potential for higher valuation.
Joint venture enhances JD.com's growth prospects in strategic investment.
Burry's shift indicates confidence in JD.com over Alibaba.
