NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryInternet RetailSnapshot 2026-07-09
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAlibaba's growth in the grocery sector is key to its value. The recent $1.5 billion bid for Pupu strengthens its competitive position. It trades at a low multiple compared to peers, suggesting it looks cheap. However, a 47% chance of missing earnings next quarter poses a risk. Peer multiples imply a price about 76% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-10. BABA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 40 analysts currently covering BABA (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BABA in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Regulatory scrutiny on Chinese firms could impact Alibaba's operations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-10. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $112.33
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $112.33.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Settlement indicates potential regulatory scrutiny affecting operations.
Increased scrutiny on Chinese firms could impact Alibaba's operations.
Legal issues could impact Alibaba's operations and reputation.
Narrowing losses indicate improved operational efficiency and potential for profitability.
Lower price target indicates concerns about growth prospects.
U.S. reprieve supports AI-first cloud investment narrative.
Analyst endorsement strengthens investment thesis.
