NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Earnings per share (EPS): metric not reported.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAlibaba's growth depends on its AI and cloud investments. The company must keep expanding its AI capabilities to justify its current price. Revenue grew 45% year-over-year in the last quarter. However, the latest earnings report showed a significant miss of 43%. Alibaba trades at a low valuation compared to peers. This suggests the price is roughly in line with expected growth. A major risk is the potential for further earnings misses. Our read remains provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-08-31. BABA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 40 analysts currently covering BABA (as of Aug 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BABA in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-31. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Chairman's share purchase signals confidence in future growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-08-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $114.02
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $114.02.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
AI funding may intensify competition in e-commerce.
Significant funding for AI could enhance product offerings.
New AI model enhances product offerings and competitive position.
Trade war could impact Alibaba's operations and profitability.
Comparison with Amazon highlights competitive pressures.
Loss of investor confidence due to management issues.
Discounted share sale may indicate financial distress.
