Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-15
$249.30-2.37%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put RCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 9% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskRoyal Caribbean's growth depends on expanding its vacation portfolio with new ships and destinations. Revenue grew 6% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 16× P/E versus an 18× peer median, indicating modest growth expectations compared to our view. If RCL cuts guidance on the next call, that would be a significant negative. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. RCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering RCL (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for RCL in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare RCL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Expand vacation portfolio with new ships and destinations
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $249.30
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $249.30.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Cancellation affects customer experience and brand reputation.
Advances: Expand vacation portfolio with new ships and destinations
New ship aligns with vacation portfolio expansion objective.
Threatens: Expand vacation portfolio with new ships and destinations
Cruise cancellations impact vacation portfolio expansion plans.
Advances: Disciplined capital allocation with focus on share repurchases and debt managem…
Debt refinancing supports disciplined capital allocation strategy.
Threatens: Expand vacation portfolio with new ships and destinations
Cancellations may hinder growth in vacation portfolio.
Positive outlook indicates strong demand, supporting growth.
Buy rating supports positive investment sentiment.
Environmental backlash affects expansion plans.