Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-30
$307.18-1.08%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put RCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, guidance credibility.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
Royal Caribbean’s vacation portfolio expansion depends on new ships and destinations sustaining revenue growth. Revenue growth accelerated from 6% in Q2 to 9% in Q3, with both quarters beating earnings estimates. RCL trades at 18× P/E versus the 23× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite that peer discount. A 22% next-quarter miss probability and management’s unsteady record pose risks. The multiple still has to be earned in a Mania market. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% below where it trades; our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. RCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 31 analysts currently covering RCL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for RCL in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare RCL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve Perfecta financial goals by 2027
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $307.18
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $307.18.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
2026 EPS outlook supports Perfecta progress; the early-2027 deal adds vacation-ecosystem growth.
Advances: Manage costs and drive revenue growth
Strong bookings and demand support revenue growth; fuel volatility remains a manageable cost risk.
Advances: Manage costs and drive revenue growth
Q3 profit beat and raised full-year outlook confirm stronger operating performance and revenue trends.
Advances: Manage costs and drive revenue growth
Raised 2026 outlook and strong bookings support revenue growth despite cost pressures.
Advances: Manage costs and drive revenue growth
Profit beat and raised outlook confirm revenue growth and operating performance.
Advances: Expand vacation portfolio with new ships and destinations
Reported Sandals stake would broaden vacation offerings, though analyst optimism is not company confirmation.
Advances: Manage costs and drive revenue growth
Upgrade indicates improved revenue growth expectations.
Potential liquidity issues could affect capital allocation strategy.
