NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-07-23
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Create your account →Primary pillar broken — EPS improves to about $29 in FY27: $28.95 vs $28.95 by FY27.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTrip.com (TCOM) faces challenges due to regulatory penalties and weak revenue guidance. The company recently received a $770 million fine, which affects its market position. Revenue guidance has also been lowered, raising concerns about its financial health. TCOM trades at a premium compared to peers, which may not be justified. The next-quarter miss probability is around 31%. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-24. TCOM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering TCOM (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-24. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Antitrust fine poses regulatory challenges to business operations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-24. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Major penalty affects market position and investor confidence.
Q2 guidance disappointment raises concerns about future performance.
Declining birth rate may impact future travel demand.
Selloff indicates concerns about travel recovery sustainability.
Regulatory uncertainty impacts investor confidence and valuation.
China probe raises concerns about regulatory risks.
Lowered price target indicates demand concerns affecting valuation.
