Hilton Worldwide (HLT)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-10-30
$356.92-0.00%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put HLT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS of about $8.34 in FY26: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 27% growth a year, above the roughly 10% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHilton’s bet rests on sustaining hotel growth through 2026 net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0%. Recent performance is strong, though Q2 revenue growth eased to 6.4% from Q1’s 10.4%. Third-quarter 2026 non-GAAP EPS beat consensus by 4.3%. Hilton trades at 40× P/E versus a 23× peer median and 39× its history. The market is pricing more growth than our forecast, leaving expectations full. A next-quarter miss probability of 19% adds risk, while the FY26 EPS comparison needs review. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. HLT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 30 analysts currently covering HLT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HLT in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put HLT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0% in 2026
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $356.92
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $356.92.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Revenue outlook and unit-growth target support Hilton's stated 2026 growth objectives.
Advances: Net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0% in 2026
Official earnings-call disclosure can confirm progress toward 2026 growth objectives.
Threatens: Net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0% in 2026
Investor concern over results and outlook signals potential pressure on growth expectations.
Advances: Net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0% in 2026
Higher annual room-revenue outlook signals stronger demand and supports growth.
Advances: Expand development through new brands and global markets
LXR's India debut expands Hilton's brands and presence in global markets.
Advances: Launch of new brands and partnerships
Partnership success aligns with brand launch objectives.
Bankruptcy filing undermines growth and capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Expand development through new brands and global markets
First Select hotel in the market advances Hilton's brand and geographic expansion.
