GLOBAL BUSINESS TRAVEL GROUP INC (GBTG)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-15
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put GBTG beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Positive cash from operations near prior $52-$85 million range: TTM OCF -15.0M vs 50.0M target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 30% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 26%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 0% on a typical day and fell roughly 40% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGBTG's growth strategy hinges on its upcoming acquisition by Long Lake Management. The company must maintain its recent strong financial performance to justify its current valuation. Revenue grew 38% year over year, but the last quarter missed expectations. GBTG trades at 19× P/E, in line with its peer median, suggesting modest growth expectations. The primary risk is the recent earnings miss, with a 23% probability of missing again next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. GBTG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering GBTG (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare GBTG with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBTG Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GBTG next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Complete acquisition by Long Lake Management
Acquisition confirms growth strategy and enhances market position.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Complete acquisition by Long Lake Management
Acquisition confirms growth strategy and enhances market position.

Investigations could pose risks to company operations.