Lowe's (LOW)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-09-15
$194.61-1.80%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put LOW beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve revenue growth of 7% to 9% in fiscal year 2026: FY26 revenue guidance $92.0B implies ~6.5% growth vs 7-9% target.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskLowe's needs to achieve revenue growth of 7% to 9% in fiscal year 2026. The latest quarter showed revenue growth of 8.3%, which aligns with this target. The stock trades at 15.9× P/E versus a peer median of 14.6×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. The primary risk is the pressure on revenue growth, as the company lowered its fiscal 2026 guidance to $92 billion. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% above where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. LOW is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 35 analysts currently covering LOW (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LOW in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare LOW with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put LOW next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Advance Total Home strategy focusing on Pro, Online, and Home Services
Cautious homeowners favoring smaller projects supports Total Home strategy.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $194.61
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $194.61.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Advance Total Home strategy focusing on Pro, Online, and Home Services
Growth plans may be hindered by housing market conditions.
Comparison with Home Depot highlights competitive pressures.
Price target cut indicates potential revenue growth issues.
Advances: Advance Total Home strategy focusing on Pro, Online, and Home Services
New store openings support Total Home strategy and growth.
Advances: Advance Total Home strategy focusing on Pro, Online, and Home Services
Supports Total Home strategy by addressing skilled labor shortage.
Advances: Advance Total Home strategy focusing on Pro, Online, and Home Services
Home Depot's store closures may benefit Lowe's market share.
Home Depot's store closures may benefit Lowe's market position.
