NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome Improvement RetailSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain operating margin between 12.4% and 12.6%: operating margin 11.9% vs target ~12.5%.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 31% growth a year, above the roughly 3% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHome Depot's revenue growth must continue to justify its current price. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 22.9 times earnings, above the peer median of 15.8 times. The market is pricing in more growth than is forecasted, which looks full. A specific risk is that the company must maintain an operating margin of 12.4% to 12.6%, but it is currently at 11.9%. Peer multiples imply a price about 31% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. HD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 36 analysts currently covering HD (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HD in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Positive outlook on roofing trends supports revenue growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $331.96
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $331.96.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth of 2.5% to 4.5%
New rewards may boost customer engagement and revenue growth.
Pro-focused pivot may hinder revenue growth objectives.
Elimination of a competitor enhances market position and growth potential.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth of 2.5% to 4.5%
New housing bill positively impacts revenue growth potential.
Threatens: Achieve revenue growth of 2.5% to 4.5%
Housing market challenges could hinder revenue growth.
Lower home prices may boost Home Depot's sales growth.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth of 2.5% to 4.5%
Resilience in home improvement supports revenue growth.
