Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-10-30
$399.81-0.87%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put TSLA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 39%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 39% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTesla’s growth case depends on robotaxis and supervised FSD gaining adoption. Revenue history is missing, so the growth trend cannot be confirmed. The latest recorded result is unavailable, and the model’s next-quarter miss risk is 25%. Tesla trades at 13.8× sales versus 0.8× for peers and 12.8× historically. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. Chinese EV brands are gaining ground in Europe, raising competitive pressure. Robotaxi promises and delays also weaken confidence in execution. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TSLA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 47 analysts currently covering TSLA (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 17 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TSLA in the last 4 months.
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Compare TSLA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TSLA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Scale autonomy, Robotaxi and AI software
Toyota-Waymo robotaxi partnership strengthens a rival in Tesla’s autonomy market.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $399.81
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $399.81.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Ramp Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Optimus production
Megacharger installations at major truck stops support Semi deployment infrastructure.
Dismissal removes a workplace-policy legal overhang, with limited thesis impact.
Threatens: Ramp Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Optimus production
Cybertruck cancellations in two markets raise demand and product-ramp concerns.
Advances: Maintain a strong balance sheet to fund investment
Positive free cash flow supports funding capacity, though the headline flags important qualifications.
Threatens: Ramp Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Optimus production
Australian Cybertruck cancellation reinforces concerns about demand and market viability.
Advances: Maintain factory utilization and manage production costs
Q3 per-car fiscal metrics indicate incremental progress on cost management.
Advances: Scale autonomy, Robotaxi and AI software
Reported tenfold Cybercab fleet expansion and rising driverless miles support autonomy progress.
