Lucid Group Inc (LCID)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-10-29
$3.02-5.63%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put LCID beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Reduce operating losses from nearly $1 billion: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 83% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLucid’s bet rests on growing vehicle sales and advancing its Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize programs. Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 56% year over year, while adjusted earnings beat estimates. Recent delivery estimates were missed, and output was cut to reduce inventory. Lucid trades at 0.8× sales, matching the 0.8× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. Our model puts next-quarter miss odds near 54%. The thesis warns because the operating-loss comparison needs review. Peer multiples imply a price about 51% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. LCID is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 11 analysts currently covering LCID (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare LCID with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCID Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put LCID next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Increase vehicle deliveries and revenue growth
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Deliveries miss estimates, impacting revenue growth objective.
Threatens: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
Delay in product launch impacts growth objectives.
Advances: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
Partnership supports growth objectives and production plans.
Advances: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
Robotaxi deal aligns with growth objectives.
Advances: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
Bolt deal supports growth strategy.
Threatens: Reaffirm production guidance of 25,000-27,000 vehicles in 2026
Recall undermines production guidance and vehicle deliveries.
Advances: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
Advances manufacturing capabilities in a key market.
Advances: Reaffirm production guidance of 25,000-27,000 vehicles in 2026
Stock resilience suggests strong production confidence despite recall.
