Lucid Group Inc (LCID)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-14
$4.12-0.96%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put LCID beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Reduce operating losses from nearly $1 billion: metric not reported.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 83% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLucid's growth depends on reaffirming production guidance and advancing key vehicle programs. Revenue grew 56% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 1.1× price-to-sales versus a peer median of 0.8×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than forecasted. The primary risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with a 52% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. LCID is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 11 analysts currently covering LCID (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare LCID with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCID Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put LCID next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Reaffirm production guidance of 25,000-27,000 vehicles in 2026
Recall undermines production guidance and vehicle deliveries.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
Advances manufacturing capabilities in a key market.
Advances: Reaffirm production guidance of 25,000-27,000 vehicles in 2026
Stock resilience suggests strong production confidence despite recall.
Threatens: Execute $1.4 billion cash flow improvement plan in 2026
Cash burn impacts ability to execute cash flow improvement plan.
Threatens: Reaffirm production guidance of 25,000-27,000 vehicles in 2026
New tariff threat impacts production guidance and European expansion.
Advances: Advance Robotaxi, AMP-2, and Midsize vehicle programs
New lineup supports product advancement and growth objectives.
Loss of key executive may impact production guidance.
Downgrade indicates potential issues with production targets.