NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Deliver 65,000 to 70,000 vehicles in 2026: guidance for 67,500 vehicles vs 65,000 target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 14% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 12%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 43% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRivian's growth depends on delivering 62,000 to 67,000 vehicles in 2026. The company recently raised its delivery forecast, indicating strong demand. It trades at 3.8 times sales, while the peer median is 0.8 times. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. A specific risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with a 22% chance of missing estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 34% below where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. RIVN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering RIVN (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for RIVN in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Advances: Launch and ramp production of R2 mid-size SUV
R2 ramp-up plans align with growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $15.22
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $15.22.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Launch and ramp production of R2 mid-size SUV
Second shift enhances R2 production capacity significantly.
Advances: Launch and ramp production of R2 mid-size SUV
R2 launch and scaling challenges impact growth objectives.
Threatens: Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $(2.00)B-$(1.80)B in 2026
Earnings call indicates potential EBITDA challenges.
Advances: Increase vehicle deliveries to 65,000-70,000 in 2026
Earnings beat supports growth in vehicle deliveries.
Advances: Increase vehicle deliveries to 65,000-70,000 in 2026
Confirms delivery targets and R2 production ramp.
Advances: Launch and ramp production of R2 mid-size SUV
Strong Q2 results support R2 production ramp objective.
Advances: Launch and ramp production of R2 mid-size SUV
R2 attracting buyers enhances growth potential.
