Reading FLYE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FLYE free→Reading FLYE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FLYE free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality is not assessable since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, FLYE is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 78% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern suggests potential issues due to weak financials or fragile earnings quality. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.34. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $2.34 FLYE trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $10 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 78% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.63x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$385.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,760.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,892.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'None' to 'cautious'.
As of June 16, 2026, the signal label changed to "cautious," indicating a shift in sentiment. The valuation label changed to "inexpensive," suggesting a new perspective on the stock's valuation.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FLYE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Standard; Transfer of Listing. On April 17, 2026, Fly-E Group, Inc. (the “ Company ”) received a letter (the “ Deficiency Letter ”) from the Listing Qualifications Staff (the “ Staff ”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market (“ Nasdaq ”) notifying the Company that it currently does not satisfy Listing Rule 5620(a), which requires listed companies to hold an annual meeting of shareholders within twelve months of the end of their fiscal year. Th…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FLYE FLY-E GROUP INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 10 of 100 | — | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Standard; Transfer of Listing. On February 27, 2026, Fly-E Group, Inc. (the “ Company ”) received a written notice (the “ Notice ”) from the listing qualifications staff (the “ Staff ”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“ Nasdaq ”) notifying the Company that it currently does not satisfy Listing Rule 5250(c)(1), as a result of not having timely filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “ Commission ”) its Form 10-Q…
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant. On March 6, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors of Fly-E Group, Inc. (the “Company” ) (i) approved the dismissal of Marcum Asia CPAs LLP ( “Marcum Asia” ) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm and (ii) appointed Fortune CPA, Inc. ( “Fortune ”) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm to conduct an quarter review of the Company’s financial statements at December 31, 2025, and audit the…
Other Events. SEC Investigation On January 21, 2026, the Company was notified by the Commission that it has initiated an investigation involving the Company. The Company has not been provided with substantive details regarding the investigation, and is fully cooperating with the investigation. No determination has been made by the Commission regarding any wrongdoing by or liability of the Company.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 2 , 2026, Zhou Ou resigned from Chairman of the Board of Fly-E Group, Inc. (the “Company” ). Mr. Zhou’s resignation was not the result of any disagreement between him and the Company, the Board of Directors, or any committee of the Board of Directors on any matter. On February 2, 2026, Rui Feng resigned from Chief Operating Officer of t…