Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-10-29
$252.72-2.75%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put WSM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 50% growth a year, above the roughly 13% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskWSM’s strong recent performance supports its home-goods business, with revenue growth accelerating across reported quarters. Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 6.7% year over year, and earnings beat estimates. Its 28.8× P/E compares with a 15.2× peer median and 25× history. The market expects more growth than our forecast, leaving expectations full. Weak execution quality and Mania conditions add risk; next-quarter miss probability is 24%. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% below where it trades. Our read remains intact; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. WSM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering WSM (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for WSM in the last 4 months.
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Compare WSM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put WSM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Revenue growth guidance of 2.7% to 6.7% for fiscal 2026
Lifting guidance supports revenue growth expectations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $252.72
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $252.72.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Maintain operating margin between 17.5% to 18.2% in fiscal 2026
Falling operating margin raises concerns about cost management.
Advances: Revenue growth guidance of 2.7% to 6.7% for fiscal 2026
Raised guidance supports revenue growth expectations.
Advances: Maintain operating margin between 17.5% to 18.1%
Higher operating margin forecast supports margin objectives.
Earnings call confirms strong performance and outlook.
Shares slip despite beating estimates, indicating market concerns.
Earnings and revenue beat supports growth outlook.
Raising FY26 outlook indicates positive growth trajectory.
