Reading VSTS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VSTS free→Reading VSTS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VSTS free→NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and management's recent track record has been steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact future performance. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $13.12. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 VSTS trades at 1× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $13 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 2% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted -8.80x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.10 → $0.10 (-1.9% / 30d). 2 raised, 4 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 25% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$178.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$622.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,754.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Sustained net income growth shows the company is improving its financial health. Investors look for consistent performance.
Confirms:Q2 net income reported above $2.60M, continuing the positive trend.
Disproves:Q2 net income falls below $2.60M, breaking the recent improvement trend.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VSTS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Interim Chief Financial Officer — Adam K. Bowen: Amended employment documents for Adam K. Bowen's continued service as Interim Chief Financial Officer.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Diversified Support Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VSTS Vestis | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 44 of 100 | fair | elevated |
CTAS Cintas | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CPRT Copart | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | fair | elevated |
RBA RB Global | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | full | moderate |
ULS UL Solutions | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Implement a strategic transformation plan to enhance customer focus, agility, and efficiency for long-term growth.
Focus on improving operating leverage and profitability through strategic initiatives.
Continue to maintain a consistent dividend per share to provide shareholder returns.
Focus on enhancing net income and operating income through strategic initiatives.
Why it matters: This growth would show that the business transformation plan is working. It would also support management's guidance for the year.
Confirms:Q3 Adjusted EBITDA increases by at least 5% compared to Q2 2026.
Disproves:Q3 Adjusted EBITDA growth is less than 5% or declines.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports debt repayment and operational flexibility. This is key for financial health.
Confirms:Cash flow from operations exceeds $60 million in Q3 2026.
Disproves:Cash flow from operations falls below $50 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If industrial sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Vestis. It indicates a healthier market.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is getting close to above 8%.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is under 8%. This shows ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: Maintaining the dividend shows the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders. A cut could signal trouble.
Confirms:Dividend per share remains at $0.035 for the next quarter.
Disproves:The dividend per share is down to $0.035. This shows possible financial trouble.
Why it matters: If revenue stabilizes or grows, it shows the company’s pricing works. This is key for long-term growth.
Confirms:Revenue for Q3 2026 is flat or shows growth compared to Q2 2026.
Disproves:Revenue declines more than 2% compared to Q2 2026.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 3, 2025, Vestis Corporation (the “Company” or “Vestis”) determined that Grant Shih, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer, will leave his position with the Company, effective October 7, 2025. There is no disagreement between Mr. Shih and the Company regarding the Company’s operations, policies or practices. Mr. Shih will…