CoreCivic (CXW)
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
$34.23-2.00%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put CXW beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Diversified Support Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 24% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 25% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCoreCivic's growth depends on revenue from facility activations and acquisitions. Recent results show strong performance, with revenue of $684.9 million exceeding expectations. The stock trades at 20× P/E, below the peer median of 27×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth compared to our view. Risks include a 22% chance of missing future earnings expectations. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% below where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. CXW is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering CXW (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare CXW with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CXW Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Diversified Support Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CXW next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue growth through facility activations and acquisitions
Financial outperformance supports revenue growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Legal issues could impact facility operations and reputation.
Advances: Execute share repurchase program to reduce shares outstanding
Share buyback program reduces shares outstanding significantly.
Advances: Increase revenue growth through facility activations and acquisitions
Immigration crackdowns increase demand for facilities.
Advances: Increase net income and earnings per share
Earnings call highlights positive net income growth.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth through facility activations and acquisitions
Sale raises concerns about revenue growth and facility activations.
Advances: Increase revenue growth through facility activations and acquisitions
New contract supports revenue growth through facility activations.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth through facility activations and acquisitions
Activist pressure may hinder future contracts and revenue.
