Reading TIC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TIC free→Reading TIC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TIC free→NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and risk is elevated. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, TIC is below typical. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $8.43. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.70x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.14 → $0.12 (-8.6% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$185.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$520.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,466.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Reaffirming revenue guidance shows confidence in growth. It can boost investor trust.
Confirms:TIC says its revenue guidance for 2026 is still the same or better.
Disproves:TIC lowers or withdraws its full-year 2026 revenue guidance.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TIC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. On June 2, 2026, TIC Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into the Third Amendment to Credit Agreement, by and among Acuren Delaware Holdco, Inc. (the “Initial Borrower”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, Acuren Holdings, Inc. (“Acuren” and together with the Initial Borrower, the “Borrowers”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, the other Loan Parties party thereto, the Refinancing Term Loan Lenders party thereto, the Revolving Cre…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Diversified Support Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TIC TIC Solutions, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 8 of 100 | — | elevated |
CTAS Cintas | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CPRT Copart | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | fair | elevated |
RBA RB Global | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | full | moderate |
ULS UL Solutions | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management has reaffirmed its full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $2,150 to $2,250 million.
Management has reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $330 to $355 million.
TIC Solutions entered into a Third Amendment to Credit Agreement to manage capital allocation.
Why it matters: Confirming EBITDA guidance shows financial health. It can change how the market views TIC.
Confirms:TIC says its adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 is still the same or better.
Disproves:TIC lowers or takes back its adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in capital use can affect growth and stability. Investors need to pay attention.
Confirms one read:TIC shares a new capital use plan that helps its financial flexibility.
Confirms the other:TIC has a harder time using its capital. This makes its financial obligations worse.
CREATION OF A DIRECT FINANCIAL OBLIGATION OR AN OBLIGATION UNDER AN OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENT OF A REGISTRANT. The information set forth under
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in any such filing, unless the Company expressly sets forth in such filing that such information is to be considered "filed" or…
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS CEO Departure On March 12, 2026, the Company announced that Talman Pizzey will retire from his position as Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”), effective March 31, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). In connection with Mr. Pizzey’s retirement, the Company intends to enter into a Separation and Release Agreement (the “Separation Agreement”) with Mr. Pizzey purs…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in any such filing, unless the Company expressly sets forth in such filing that such information is to be considered "filed" or…