Terex (TEX)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-30
$56.15-0.71%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put TEX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Terex improves operating income from Q1 2026 loss: Operating income: $183M.
View ThesisRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 40%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 33% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTerex’s thesis rests on profitable growth and better cash conversion, despite fragile earnings quality. Revenue growth remains strong, though Q3 2026 revenue rose 11.6% year over year after 50.5% in Q2. Q3 non-GAAP EPS beat consensus, and the outlook includes higher free-cash-flow guidance. TEX trades at 11× P/E versus 19× for peers, and its own historical multiple is 13×. Expectations look modest versus our view, though the premium relies on execution. A 23% next-quarter miss probability and weak cash backing threaten that case. The primary operating-income pillar remains under pressure after a Q1 2026 loss. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TEX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering TEX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TEX in the last 4 months.
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Compare TEX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TEX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Generate free cash flow and improve cash conversion
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $56.15
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $56.15.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Higher free-cash-flow outlook supports cash conversion alongside substantial sales and EPS guidance.
Earnings beat and rising orders support profitable growth and demand, though headline lacks detailed results.
Advances: Focus on revenue growth
Raised outlook supports revenue growth objective.
Earnings beat but shares fall indicates market concerns.
Strong Q2 performance supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Focus on revenue growth
Revenue growth exceeds forecasts, supporting investment thesis.
Threatens: Focus on revenue growth
Cuts outlook indicates weak demand affecting revenue growth.
Clearing HSR hurdle supports strategic growth through acquisition.