NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-07-31
Reading CMI? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Gross margin near 18.5% in 2026: gross margin 26.7% vs target 18.5%.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 25% growth a year, above the roughly 13% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskCummins must increase revenue by 8% to 11% in 2026 to justify its price. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year, but the last quarter missed expectations. It trades at 28× P/E versus a 23× peer median, indicating it looks expensive. The primary risk is a credibility hit if guidance is cut after a recent raise. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. CMI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 22 analysts currently covering CMI (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CMI in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Increase revenue by 8% to 11% in 2026
Slower engine rollout may hinder revenue growth targets.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $634.20
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $634.20.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Tax appeal could impact financial performance and growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue by 8% to 11% in 2026
New system supports revenue growth and sustainability goals.
Advances: Increase revenue by 8% to 11% in 2026
Increased power demand supports revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue by 8% to 11% in 2026
Investment in green tech supports revenue growth objectives.
Middle East conflict may impact export revenue growth.
Middle East conflict may impact export revenue growth.
Increased competition threatens Cummins' market share and revenue growth.
