Paccar (PCAR)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-14
$122.46-0.33%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put PCAR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Revenue growth of at least 7% in FY26: rev +1.0% vs 7.0%.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 11% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskPCAR's revenue growth must improve to justify its current valuation. Recent financial performance dropped significantly, with Q2 FY26 revenue growing only 1.0% year over year, far below the 7% target. PCAR trades at 26× P/E versus a 19× peer median, indicating it looks expensive on this basis. The primary risk is that revenue growth remains weak, as indicated by the recent drop in its performance standing. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% below where it trades. The thesis has broken.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. PCAR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering PCAR (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PCAR in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare PCAR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put PCAR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Grow PACCAR Parts revenue and profitability
Record parts revenue supports growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $122.46
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $122.46.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Strong margin forecast supports overall financial health.
Beating estimates indicates strong demand, supporting overall thesis.
Advances: Expand electric truck offerings
Market share growth supports electric truck expansion.