Reading SEVN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SEVN free→Reading SEVN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SEVN free→NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality is fragile, indicating that reported profits are not well-supported by cash. Management's recent track record has been steady, while risk is elevated and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. The valuation reflects that SEVN is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $8.22. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.22 SEVN trades at 8× p/e, below its 10× p/e peer median. Our $9.91 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 17% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -24%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated strong grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.07x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Real Estate names rated fragile grew net income 35% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1399).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.26 → $0.26 (-0.7% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.9% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$83.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$242.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,131.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation changed. It rose to "full" from "fair." Risk is still elevated. The sector backdrop remains a headwind.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A rebound in revenue growth could signal a positive shift for Seven Hills Realty Trust.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is slowing down. It is now below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SEVN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Resignation of Jeffrey P. Somers On June 9, 2026, Jeffrey P. Somers resigned as an Independent Trustee, effective following the conclusion of the Company’s annual meeting of shareholders held on the same day (the “Annual Meeting”). Mr. Somers advised the Board of Trustees (the “Board”) that his resignation was not the result of any disagreement wit…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Mortgage REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SEVN Seven Hills Realty Trust | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 44 of 100 | fair | elevated |
NLY Annaly Capital Management | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 32 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AGNC AGNC Investment Corp | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 35 of 100 | full | moderate |
STWD Starwood Property Trust | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 28 of 100 | full | moderate |
RITM Rithm Capital | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Real Estate names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=3736).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to maintain a stable dividend per share as part of shareholder returns.
Focus on increasing revenue through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Ensure stable operating income through efficient operations and cost management.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026 , Seven Hills Realty Trust, or the Company, issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing the Company’s financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s summary press release and detailed earnings presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, respectively.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 18, 2026 , Seven Hills Realty Trust, or the Company, issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing the Company’s financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Company’s summary press release and detailed earnings presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, respectively.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 27, 2025, Seven Hills Realty Trust, or the Company, issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing the Company’s financial results for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the Company’s summary press release and detailed earnings presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, respectively.
Other Events On October 29, 2025, the Company authorized the purchase from The RMR Group LLC, or RMR, of a $40 million loan relating to the SpringHill Suites by Marriott hotel, located at 400 Ocean Avenue, Revere, Massachusetts, and a $27 million loan relating to an industrial property located at 400 Devon Park Drive, Tredyffrin Township, Chester County, Pennsylvania, or the Loan Investments. The Company expects to close on the purchase of the Loan Investments by year-end. The purchase price…