Rithm Capital (RITM)
NYSEFinancialsReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-10-30
$9.31-0.96%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put RITM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Mortgage REITs is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 23% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 12%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskRITM’s asset management platform needs to grow revenue and earnings available for distribution. Recent quarters show earnings beats, though the desk provides no revenue growth rates. RITM trades at 4× P/E versus an 9× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite that valuation gap. Weak cash backing for reported profits threatens the growth case. Management is also running behind on a stated commitment. Peer multiples imply a price about 46% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. RITM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 11 analysts currently covering RITM (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare RITM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RITM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Mortgage REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RITM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings available for distribution
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Reported quarterly earnings beat supports revenue and earnings objectives, though the headline provides limited detail.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings available for distribution
Reported Q3 earnings beat, driven by asset management, supports earnings growth and platform expansion.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings available for distribution
Reported earnings and revenue beats support growth objectives, though details on durability are limited.
Advances: Grow asset management platform AUM and revenue
S&P upgrade indicates improved financial stability and growth potential.
Advances: Manage capital structure with debt issuance and refinancing
Sale improves capital structure and liquidity for future investments.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Increased price target indicates positive outlook on growth.