NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Mortgage REITs is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — what the market is pricing in runs ahead of what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAGNC's performance relies on its ability to improve earnings quality and revenue growth. Recent financial results have been weak, with a revenue beat of 5% last quarter. It trades at 7.7× P/E, below the 9.5× peer median, indicating potential undervaluation. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, suggesting full expectations. A specific risk is the 47% chance of missing estimates next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. AGNC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering AGNC (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AGNC in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Mortgage REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Implement stock issuance program
Equity plan supports capital allocation objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $10.66
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $10.66.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Advances: Implement stock issuance program
Stock issuance can enhance shareholder value.
Threatens: Maintain dividend of $0.36 per share
Dividend yield concerns may affect capital allocation.
Threatens: Maintain dividend of $0.36 per share
Concerns over yield sustainability impact dividend objective.
