AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-10-29
$8.95+1.02%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put AGNC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Mortgage REITs is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Cash from operations improves to support financial stability: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAGNC’s case rests on its Agency MBS outlook and earnings yield above its sector, despite weak recent performance. Its latest listed results show GAAP EPS of -1.17 for Q3 2026 and non-GAAP EPS of 0.4 for Q2 FY2026; revenue growth and a latest beat or miss are unavailable. AGNC trades at 6× P/E versus an 9× peer median, while its own historical multiple is 7×. The desk says the price reflects less growth than its forecast. The specific risks include a 44% next-quarter miss probability and fragile earnings quality, meaning reported profits lack cash backing. The thesis is on watch because the cash-from-operations comparison needs review. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. AGNC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering AGNC (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AGNC in the last 4 months.
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Compare AGNC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Mortgage REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AGNC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain a constructive Agency MBS investment outlook
Management’s constructive Agency MBS outlook is supported by attractive yields and stated expected ROE.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $8.95
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $8.95.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Fed policy shift may impact operational cash flow negatively.
Threatens: Maintain quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share
Concerns about dividend sustainability impact investment thesis.
Advances: Maintain quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share
Analysis supports maintaining the dividend objective.
Valuation analysis suggests potential upside.
Valuation insights support investment thesis and dividend sustainability.
Advances: Implement and utilize At-the-Market (ATM) stock issuance program
Equity plan supports ATM issuance objective.
Advances: Implement and utilize At-the-Market (ATM) stock issuance program
Positive outlook on stock issuance benefits.