Polaris (PII)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$59.41-1.43%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put PII beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 27%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 21% growth a year, above the roughly 2% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskPolaris’s investment case rests on revenue growth recovering through utility-driven demand. Revenue growth accelerated from 8% to 11%, and Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates as guidance rose. Polaris trades at 18.5× P/E versus a 17.1× peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast, leaving expectations full. The specific risk is a guidance reversal after the recent increase, which could damage credibility. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. PII is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering PII (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare PII with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PII Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Leisure Products — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put PII next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Higher EPS outlook and utility-driven demand indicate improved near-term performance, though revenue and margin details are unspecified.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Quarterly beat and raised outlook support revenue growth, though the headline alone gives limited detail on margins or cash flow.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Beating estimates and raising guidance support revenue growth, though the headline alone gives limited detail.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Price target cut indicates potential revenue growth challenges.
PT trim indicates potential revenue growth challenges.