JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-10-30
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-10-30
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Put JAKK beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve EPS near $1.8 in FY25: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 70% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — what the market is pricing in runs ahead of what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskJAKKS Pacific's improving earnings performance is the central case, though reported profits remain weakly backed by cash. Recent results beat estimates, but the desk has no earnings history to establish revenue growth direction. JAKK trades at 17× P/E versus a 17× peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast. The specific concern is fragile earnings quality, with reported profits not well backed by cash. The stated FY25 EPS pillar comparison needs review, so it is not a confirmed breach. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. JAKK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering JAKK (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAKK Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Leisure Products — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put JAKK next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Focus on improving earnings performance
Quarterly EPS and revenue beat estimates, supporting improved earnings and revenue growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Anime expansion aligns with growth strategy and market trends.

New partnership enhances product offerings and market reach.
Extension of partnership boosts brand presence in collectibles.
New partnership expands product line into popular anime market.

Launch of platform accelerates entry into high-growth markets.

Advances: Maintain quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share
Dividend declaration supports capital allocation strategy.