Reading GOLF? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GOLF free→Reading GOLF? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GOLF free→NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady, and it is capital-friendly. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, GOLF is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 89% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. Rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. If GOLF cuts guidance on the next call, that would be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $97.24. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $97 GOLF trades at 30× p/e — 1.9× the 15× p/e peer median, and above its own 24× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $52 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $87–$100. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 89% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 6%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.00x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.57 → $1.67 (+6.2% / 30d). 4 raised, 0 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.8% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$99.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$252.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,792.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This would signal a slowdown in revenue growth, raising concerns about market demand.
Confirms:Q2 2026 net sales growth comes in below 2.5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 2026 net sales growth exceeds 4.5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GOLF yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 8, 2026 , in connection with its existing $1.25 billion share repurchase authorization, Acushnet Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) entered into an agreement with Magnus Holdings Co., Ltd. (“Magnus”), pursuant to which the Company will purchase up to an aggregate of $52.5 million of shares of its common stock from Magnus on a share-for-share basis as the Company repurchases shares in the open market or privately negotiated transactions. The pric…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$87.00 – $100.00 (median $97.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-19
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Leisure Products.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GOLF Acushnet Company | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
HAS Hasbro | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BC Brunswick | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
MAT Mattel | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 64 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PII Polaris | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=483).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing revenue growth through strategic initiatives.
Continue to increase dividends as part of capital allocation strategy.
Enhance gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.
Why it matters: A drop in sales shows problems in footwear. This could hurt overall growth.
Confirms:FootJoy golf wear sales decline year over year for two consecutive quarters.
Disproves:FootJoy golf wear sales increase year over year for two consecutive quarters.
Why it matters: More buybacks may show that management believes in the company's worth.
Confirms:They announced more share buybacks over $20 million.
Disproves:No announcements of new share repurchase programs.
Why it matters: New products can boost sales. They can also help the company’s market position.
Confirms:Announcement of at least two new golf products in the next quarter.
Disproves:No new product announcements in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A higher dividend shows strong cash flow and a promise to give value to shareholders.
Confirms:Announcement of an increase in the quarterly cash dividend above $0.255 per share.
Disproves:Announcement of no change to the quarterly cash dividend at $0.255 per share.
Why it matters: A drop in margins may show rising costs or pricing issues that hurt profits.
Confirms:Gross profit margins reported below 19% in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Gross profit margins reported above 20% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A dividend increase signals confidence in cash flow and commitment to shareholders. It can attract more investors.
Confirms:Announcement of a dividend increase in Q2.
Disproves:No dividend increase announced in Q2.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Acushnet Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “E…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, Acushnet Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s results of operations for the full year and fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange A…