CSX Corporation (CSX)
NASDAQIndustrialsRailroadsSnapshot 2026-10-29
NASDAQIndustrialsRailroadsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put CSX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS at least $1.54 in full year 2026: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 25% growth a year, above the roughly 8% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskCSX’s claim rests on strong recent financial performance and improving expense control alongside volume growth. Revenue growth accelerated from 2% in Q1 to 12% in the third quarter, which beat consensus. CSX trades at 27× P/E versus a 23× peer median, with its own history at 27×. The market prices in more growth than our forecast, leaving expectations full. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 20%. The primary pillar, full-year 2026 EPS of at least $1.54, needs verified mapping. Peer multiples imply a price about 24% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. CSX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering CSX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 14 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CSX in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare CSX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrials (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CSX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Deliver full-year volume growth
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $51.99
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $51.99.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
High-single-digit revenue growth and 350-plus bps margin expansion support volume and cost objectives.

Advances: Improve expense profile
Earnings beat and margin expansion support the expense-improvement objective.

Advances: Deliver full-year volume growth
Steady volumes support growth objective significantly.

Advances: Deliver full-year volume growth
Intermodal demand supports volume growth objective.
Advances: Deliver full-year volume growth
Record revenue indicates strong volume growth.

Advances: Deliver full-year volume growth
Improved freight demand supports volume growth objective.
Advances: Deliver full-year volume growth
Improving rail demand supports volume growth objective.
Threatens: Improve expense profile
Earnings lagging estimates indicates cost management issues.
