Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock (SPCX)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-15
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-15
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Put SPCX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSPCX depends on growth across space, connectivity, and AI to support its valuation. Revenue grew 92% year over year, and Q2 FY2026 earnings beat estimates. A clean valuation multiple is unavailable, so the valuation estimate has low confidence. The price is roughly in line with forecast growth, despite the Mania market cycle. Management is behind on a stated commitment, creating a specific thesis risk. The next-quarter miss probability is 7%, though the latest result beat. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% below where it trades. Our standing thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. SPCX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 39 analysts currently covering SPCX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 27 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SPCX in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put SPCX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive growth across Space, Connectivity, and AI segments
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $146.03
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $146.03.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
United Airlines rollout expands Starlink distribution and supports Connectivity growth.

Threatens: Drive growth across Space, Connectivity, and AI segments
Ukraine-related moves may intensify competition, creating a reported headwind to Starlink connectivity growth.

Potential merger could significantly enhance growth prospects.

Similar to previous report, indicates strong merger potential.

Competition from Deutsche Telekom could hinder growth.

Risks from Spectrum purchase could impact competitive positioning.

Advances: Drive growth across Space, Connectivity, and AI segments
Elon Musk's comments highlight AI team's strength, supporting growth.

Advances: Drive growth across Space, Connectivity, and AI segments
Significant revenue boost supports growth objectives.
