Honeywell Aerospace (HONA)
USIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-16
$168.09+3.05%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
USIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-16
Research Workspace
Put HONA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBIT of at least $4.46 billion in 2025: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskHoneywell Aerospace’s thesis rests on organic sales growth across segments, despite a sector backdrop working against it. Revenue growth slowed from 12% to 5% year over year, and the latest reported quarter missed. The desk lacks clean current and peer multiples, so the requested multiple comparison is unavailable. The price is roughly in line with forecast growth, but the primary adjusted EBIT pillar is marked broken. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 20%. Peer multiples imply a price about 31% above where it trades; the thesis has broken. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. HONA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering HONA (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HONA in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare HONA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HONA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put HONA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Securities fraud lawsuit could impact investor confidence and governance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $168.09
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $168.09.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Advances: Drive organic sales growth across segments
Secures sales growth through engine supply contract.
Advances: Drive organic sales growth across segments
New maintenance deal supports organic sales growth objective.
Advances: Drive organic sales growth across segments
CEO's positive outlook supports organic sales growth strategy.
Advances: Complete spin-off and establish independent governance
Executive buying shares signals confidence in the new governance.
Advances: Complete spin-off and establish independent governance
Spin-off aligns with management's goal of independent governance.
Threatens: Complete spin-off and establish independent governance
Valuation discount may hinder successful spin-off execution.
Threatens: Complete spin-off and establish independent governance
Spinoff issues could delay independent governance plans.
