Avis Budget Group (CAR)
NASDAQIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
NASDAQIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put CAR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth at or above 2% annually: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 24%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityManagement screens weak on earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 86% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCAR rests on cheap sales-based valuation, despite weak performance and unprofitable earnings. Revenue growth slowed from 4% to negative 1%; the latest quarter missed. CAR trades at 0.3× sales, against peers’ 1.5× median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The next-quarter miss probability is 63%; the latest earnings missed. Revenue growth’s comparison needs review, so its annual threshold is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 64% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. CAR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 8 analysts currently covering CAR (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare CAR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrials (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CAR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Manage legal and regulatory risks including shareholder litigation
Legal risks could impact management's objectives and overall business stability.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.

Threatens: Manage legal and regulatory risks including shareholder litigation
Lawsuit raises concerns about legal and regulatory risks.
Threatens: Control per-unit fleet costs
Recall-driven costs negatively impact fleet cost control.
Threatens: Manage financial obligations
Missed revenue estimates impact financial obligations management.
Advances: Asset-backed financing extension
Reshaping debt profile supports capital allocation goals.
Advances: Asset-backed financing extension
Reshaping debt profile supports capital allocation goals.
Ending contract with Verra Mobility impacts competitive positioning.