Biglari Holdings, Inc. (BH-A)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-14
$1822.69-1.27%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put BH-A beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 44%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 46% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBH-A's growth depends on maintaining robust earnings quality and sector performance. Revenue growth has been weak, with the last quarter showing a significant miss of -25%. The stock trades at a typical multiple compared to peers, with no premium priced in. The miss probability for the next quarter is 53%, indicating elevated risk. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% above where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. BH-A is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare BH-A with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BH-A Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put BH-A next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Overvaluation concerns directly challenge current investment thesis.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.