FULL TRUCK ALLIANCE CO LTD (YMM)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-09
$8.31-1.42%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-09
Research Workspace
Put YMM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 45% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskYMM's growth depends on strong demand for shipping services. The company must continue to improve user satisfaction and transaction efficiency. Fulfilled orders grew 12.7% year over year. Average shipper monthly active users increased 12.8% year over year. YMM trades at a low multiple compared to peers. This suggests the price reflects expected growth. The next-quarter miss probability is 18%. A decline in fulfilled orders or MAUs would challenge the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 23% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-09. YMM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering YMM (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for YMM in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare YMM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YMM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put YMM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Record fulfillment rate indicates strong operational performance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-09. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $8.31
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $8.31.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Earnings beat indicates strong performance and positive outlook.
Earnings beat and revenue growth support positive investment thesis.
New investment indicates confidence in YMM's future.