Strategy Inc. (MSTR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-30
$130.51-7.84%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put MSTR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Stabilize or improve EPS above $10 in FY27: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 69% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMSTR is a bet on Bitcoin holdings growing per share through digital credit. Its price also depends on Bitcoin’s market value and financial premiums. The latest reported quarter showed revenue growth of 6.9% year over year. Its GAAP earnings missed consensus, with reported earnings of -24.45 per share. MSTR trades at 94 times sales versus the peer median of 4 times. Its own historical multiple is 80 times; expectations look modest versus our view. A 57% next-quarter miss probability puts the earnings pillar under pressure. The FY27 EPS comparison needs review, so the stated pillar breach remains unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. MSTR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 16 analysts currently covering MSTR (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MSTR in the last 4 months.
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Compare MSTR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put MSTR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain Dividend Rate
Shareholder approval of daily preferred dividends supports dividend continuity, though approval alone does not establish payment.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $130.51
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $130.51.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Maintain Dividend Rate
Shareholder approval supports the preferred-dividend program and management’s objective to maintain dividend payments.
Advances: Repurchase of Convertible Notes
Reported repurchase activity supports the tracked objective, but no scale or terms are provided.
Maintain Dividend Rate
STRC repurchases relate to capital allocation, but pausing Bitcoin purchases is not a stated objective.
Advances: Repurchase of Convertible Notes
Reported Bitcoin purchase and increased planned share repurchases support capital allocation, though buybacks may compete with note repurchases.
Potential MSCI exclusion could trigger passive selling and weigh on valuation; no tracked objective is directly affected.
Potential index removal could reduce passive demand and pressure valuation, but does not alter operating objectives.
Potential index exclusion could reduce demand and pressure Strategy’s financing premium.