NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 8%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens weak on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 80% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMicroStrategy's strategy to manage Bitcoin assets is crucial to its valuation. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year, but the latest earnings report missed expectations significantly. It trades at 67 times sales, compared to a peer median of 3.5 times. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations, which may not be fully justified. A specific risk is the elevated 54% chance of missing earnings guidance in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 54% above where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. MSTR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering MSTR (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MSTR in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Advances: Acquisition Activity
Acquisition of Bitcoin aligns with growth strategy.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $93.28
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $93.28.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Repurchase of Convertible Notes
New sales policy raises concerns about capital allocation.
Advances: Repurchase of Convertible Notes
Selling strategy could optimize capital allocation.
Advances: Acquisition Activity
New strategy aligns with growth through asset management.
Threatens: Repurchase of Convertible Notes
Breaking point in strategy could impact capital allocation.
Advances: Acquisition Activity
Acquisition of Bitcoin supports growth strategy.
Potential stock squeeze could significantly increase share price.
CFO selling shares signals lack of confidence in stock value.
